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Conway, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Conway AR
National Weather Service Forecast for: Conway AR
Issued by: National Weather Service Little Rock, AR
Updated: 5:35 am CDT Jul 27, 2025
 
Today

Today: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Heat index values as high as 106. West southwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Tonight

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Partly Cloudy

Monday

Monday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Heat index values as high as 111. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the morning.
Hot

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 78. Calm wind.
Mostly Clear

Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 101. Calm wind.
Hot

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Calm wind.
Mostly Clear

Wednesday

Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Sunny and hot, with a high near 100. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph.
Sunny then
Slight Chance
T-storms
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Slight Chance
T-storms
Thursday

Thursday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 97. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Mostly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Hi 94 °F Lo 77 °F Hi 99 °F Lo 78 °F Hi 101 °F Lo 77 °F Hi 100 °F Lo 76 °F Hi 97 °F

Heat Advisory
 

Today
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Heat index values as high as 106. West southwest wind around 5 mph.
Tonight
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Heat index values as high as 111. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the morning.
Monday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 78. Calm wind.
Tuesday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 101. Calm wind.
Tuesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Calm wind.
Wednesday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Sunny and hot, with a high near 100. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Thursday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 97. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74.
Friday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90.
Friday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Saturday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Conway AR.

Weather Forecast Discussion
404
FXUS64 KLZK 270554
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1254 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

-An increase in afternoon/evening rain chances could provide
 some temporary relief from the heat today.

-Heat and humidity will really build through much of the upcoming
 week with temperatures approaching/exceeding 100 degrees with
 heat headlines likely needed each day.

-Potential cool down plus increasing PoP chances late in the
 forecast period.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

An expansive upper ridge will begin to retrograde towards the
region today. A few afternoon/showers are still possible over the
NW half of the state as upper level energy rotates clockwise
around the periphery of high pressure. Rain chances will diminish
early week through mid-week as the aforementioned upper ridge
moves overtop of the region providing large scale forcing for
subsidence. At the surface, high pressure will slide into the
region from the SE CONUS. The combination of these two features
should inhibit substantial or widespread PoP chances.

On sunday, partly to mostly cloudy skies are possible through the
morning hours which should give way to mostly sunny conditions by
afternoon. High temperatures should top out in the upper 80s to
mid 90s. Apparent T`s should range from 95-105 over Wrn AR and
higher terrain of N-Cntrl/NW AR. Elsewhere a Heat Advisory is in
place where heat index values should reach or exceed 105 degrees.

The heat will really crank up starting Monday, possibly
continuing into Thursday, as the aforementioned upper and surface
highs settle into the region. Utilizing probabilistic guidance,
Monday through Wednesday appear be the hottest days. Currently,
the probability of high temperatures reaching or exceeding 100 F
stands between 40%-80% across the AR River Valley, portions of
Cntrl into much of Ern AR. Needless to say, temperatures during
this period of time are expected to range from the mid 90s to
around 103 degrees across the CWA. Factor in dew points in the 70s
and Apparent T`s are likely to range from 105-115, possibly even
higher than 115 in some locations of Ern AR. These conditions
would likely prompt a combination of Heat Advisories and Extreme
Heat Warnings over a mutli-day period.

Changes are looking more likely to arrive later in the forecast
period as the upper level ridge slides Wwrd into the Srn/Cntrl
Plains. This shift in the synoptic pattern would favor NW flow
over the MS Valley. Guidance hints at a back door cold front
moving towards the state on Friday as surface high pressure builds
into the Upper MS Valley. This could bring an increase in PoP
chances and possibly N/NErly winds over portions of AR. Even if
rainfall doesn`t occur in all locations, an increase in cloudiness
should help temper afternoon highs between the mid 80s to lower
90s. Climatologically speaking, temperatures late in the period
should be close to average for this time of year.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

Upper level high pressure will continue to dominate. As such,
winds will be light and generally from the south/southwest,
averaging 10 knots or less. Low level moisture may result in MVFR
conditions for several hours around sunrise with all terminals
seeing VFR condtions after. Some isolated to widely scattered
-SHRA may pop off in the afternoon but low confidence in timing
and placement precludes adding any precip to the TAFS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     93  77  98  78 /  40  10  10  10
Camden AR         94  75  99  75 /  20  10   0   0
Harrison AR       90  75  94  75 /  30  10  10   0
Hot Springs AR    94  75  99  77 /  20  10  10   0
Little Rock   AR  94  77  98  78 /  30  10  10   0
Monticello AR     95  77  99  78 /  20  10   0   0
Mount Ida AR      92  75  97  75 /  30  10  10   0
Mountain Home AR  90  74  94  75 /  40  10  10   0
Newport AR        94  78  99  79 /  30  10  10   0
Pine Bluff AR     94  76  98  77 /  20  10   0   0
Russellville AR   94  76  98  77 /  30  10  10   0
Searcy AR         94  76  98  77 /  30  10  10   0
Stuttgart AR      93  77  98  78 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ007-008-016-017-
024-025-031>034-039-042>047-054>057-062>069-121>123-130-138-230-
238.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION....70
AVIATION...56
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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