Conway, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Conway AR
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Conway AR
Issued by: National Weather Service Little Rock, AR |
Updated: 5:35 am CDT Jul 27, 2025 |
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Today
 Mostly Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Tonight
 Partly Cloudy
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Monday
 Hot
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Monday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Tuesday
 Hot
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Tuesday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Wednesday
 Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Wednesday Night
 Slight Chance T-storms
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Thursday
 Mostly Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Hi 94 °F |
Lo 77 °F |
Hi 99 °F |
Lo 78 °F |
Hi 101 °F |
Lo 77 °F |
Hi 100 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
Hi 97 °F |
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Heat Advisory
Today
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Heat index values as high as 106. West southwest wind around 5 mph. |
Tonight
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. |
Monday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Heat index values as high as 111. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the morning. |
Monday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 78. Calm wind. |
Tuesday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 101. Calm wind. |
Tuesday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Calm wind. |
Wednesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Sunny and hot, with a high near 100. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph. |
Wednesday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. |
Thursday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 97. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. |
Thursday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. |
Friday
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. |
Friday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. |
Saturday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Conway AR.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
404
FXUS64 KLZK 270554
AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1254 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025
...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025
-An increase in afternoon/evening rain chances could provide
some temporary relief from the heat today.
-Heat and humidity will really build through much of the upcoming
week with temperatures approaching/exceeding 100 degrees with
heat headlines likely needed each day.
-Potential cool down plus increasing PoP chances late in the
forecast period.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025
An expansive upper ridge will begin to retrograde towards the
region today. A few afternoon/showers are still possible over the
NW half of the state as upper level energy rotates clockwise
around the periphery of high pressure. Rain chances will diminish
early week through mid-week as the aforementioned upper ridge
moves overtop of the region providing large scale forcing for
subsidence. At the surface, high pressure will slide into the
region from the SE CONUS. The combination of these two features
should inhibit substantial or widespread PoP chances.
On sunday, partly to mostly cloudy skies are possible through the
morning hours which should give way to mostly sunny conditions by
afternoon. High temperatures should top out in the upper 80s to
mid 90s. Apparent T`s should range from 95-105 over Wrn AR and
higher terrain of N-Cntrl/NW AR. Elsewhere a Heat Advisory is in
place where heat index values should reach or exceed 105 degrees.
The heat will really crank up starting Monday, possibly
continuing into Thursday, as the aforementioned upper and surface
highs settle into the region. Utilizing probabilistic guidance,
Monday through Wednesday appear be the hottest days. Currently,
the probability of high temperatures reaching or exceeding 100 F
stands between 40%-80% across the AR River Valley, portions of
Cntrl into much of Ern AR. Needless to say, temperatures during
this period of time are expected to range from the mid 90s to
around 103 degrees across the CWA. Factor in dew points in the 70s
and Apparent T`s are likely to range from 105-115, possibly even
higher than 115 in some locations of Ern AR. These conditions
would likely prompt a combination of Heat Advisories and Extreme
Heat Warnings over a mutli-day period.
Changes are looking more likely to arrive later in the forecast
period as the upper level ridge slides Wwrd into the Srn/Cntrl
Plains. This shift in the synoptic pattern would favor NW flow
over the MS Valley. Guidance hints at a back door cold front
moving towards the state on Friday as surface high pressure builds
into the Upper MS Valley. This could bring an increase in PoP
chances and possibly N/NErly winds over portions of AR. Even if
rainfall doesn`t occur in all locations, an increase in cloudiness
should help temper afternoon highs between the mid 80s to lower
90s. Climatologically speaking, temperatures late in the period
should be close to average for this time of year.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025
Upper level high pressure will continue to dominate. As such,
winds will be light and generally from the south/southwest,
averaging 10 knots or less. Low level moisture may result in MVFR
conditions for several hours around sunrise with all terminals
seeing VFR condtions after. Some isolated to widely scattered
-SHRA may pop off in the afternoon but low confidence in timing
and placement precludes adding any precip to the TAFS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR 93 77 98 78 / 40 10 10 10
Camden AR 94 75 99 75 / 20 10 0 0
Harrison AR 90 75 94 75 / 30 10 10 0
Hot Springs AR 94 75 99 77 / 20 10 10 0
Little Rock AR 94 77 98 78 / 30 10 10 0
Monticello AR 95 77 99 78 / 20 10 0 0
Mount Ida AR 92 75 97 75 / 30 10 10 0
Mountain Home AR 90 74 94 75 / 40 10 10 0
Newport AR 94 78 99 79 / 30 10 10 0
Pine Bluff AR 94 76 98 77 / 20 10 0 0
Russellville AR 94 76 98 77 / 30 10 10 0
Searcy AR 94 76 98 77 / 30 10 10 0
Stuttgart AR 93 77 98 78 / 20 10 10 10
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ007-008-016-017-
024-025-031>034-039-042>047-054>057-062>069-121>123-130-138-230-
238.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION....70
AVIATION...56
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